live
./round-08

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 26 May 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:44 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 21%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Reliability 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 4%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Luck Factor 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 84 · P6
9%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 92 · P1
8%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 90 · P4
8%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 89 · P3
8%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 84 · P2
7%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P7
7%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 71 · P5
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 39 · P10
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P15
4%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 22 · P9
4%
11
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 32 · P8
4%
12
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 62 · P13
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 37 · P11
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 35 · P13
4%
15
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 44 · P11
4%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 25 · P16
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 34 · P14
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P12
3%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 8 · P17
2%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P14
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%