live
./round-09

Canadian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Montréal, Canada · 9 June 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:46 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Quali vs Teammate 12%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Long Run Pace 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 80 · P2
8%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P7
8%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 66 · P1
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 89 · P11
8%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 87 · P3
7%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 54 · P6
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 76 · P11
6%
08
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 78 · P4
6%
09
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 23 · P8
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 39 · P9
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 43 · P5
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 14 · P10
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 33 · P14
4%
14
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 76 · P15
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 39 · P17
4%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 33 · P16
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 27 · P13
3%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P12
3%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 37 · P18
3%
20
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 11 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%