live
./round-10

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 23 June 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:47 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 15%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 88 · P2
10%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 88 · P1
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 85 · P5
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P3
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 87 · P6
7%
06
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 93 · P10
7%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P11
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P8
5%
09
RUS
George Russell
Car 67 · P4
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P7
5%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 41 · P13
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 36 · P12
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 38 · P9
4%
14
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 27 · P11
4%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P14
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 32 · P16
3%
17
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 44 · P17
3%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 20 · P18
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 33 · P15
3%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%