live
./round-13

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 21 July 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:52 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 16%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 88 · P3
11%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 89 · P1
10%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 93 · P2
9%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P5
8%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 87 · P4
8%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P7
5%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 86 · P6
5%
08
RUS
George Russell
Car 68 · P16
5%
09
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 37 · P11
4%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 41 · P8
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 44 · P9
4%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P15
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 20 · P12
3%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P19
3%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 38 · P18
3%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 27 · P11
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 33 · P14
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 31 · P10
3%
19
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P13
3%
20
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 11 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%