live
./round-14

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 28 July 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:53 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 14%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 4%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 81 · P1
11%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 84 · P6
10%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P4
8%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 87 · P5
8%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 77 · P8
7%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 87 · P2
7%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 67 · P7
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 54 · P9
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 75 · P3
5%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 38 · P15
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 39 · P10
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 40 · P14
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 14 · P11
3%
14
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 43 · P12
3%
15
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 32 · P13
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 34 · P11
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 25 · P17
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 28 · P16
2%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P19
2%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%