live
./round-15

Dutch Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Zandvoort, Netherlands · 25 August 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:55 PM

predicted
Oscar Piastri
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why PIA
share of weighted score
Car Performance 28%
Long Run Pace 22%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Driver Rating 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Win Rate 1%
Tyre Degradation 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 95 · P3
10%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 88 · P2
10%
03
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P1
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P11
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 86 · P6
6%
06
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 41 · P8
5%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 68 · P4
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 87 · P10
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 59 · P7
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P5
5%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P9
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 32 · P11
4%
13
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 32 · P13
4%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 20 · P10
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 37 · P15
4%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 27 · P16
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 36 · P12
3%
18
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 44 · P14
3%
19
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P19
3%
20
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%