live
./round-16

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 1 September 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:57 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Charles Leclerc
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 19%
Quali vs Teammate 11%
Reliability 9%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Sector Strength 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 4%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 79 · P7
10%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 84 · P2
10%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 85 · P1
9%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P6
9%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc ✓ actual winner
Car 86 · P4
8%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 74 · P5
7%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 63 · P3
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 72 · P8
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 51 · P11
5%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 40 · P11
4%
11
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 34 · P10
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 35 · P16
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 9 · P9
3%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 19 · P15
3%
15
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 30 · P18
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 30 · P13
3%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 36 · P14
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 22 · P12
2%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 4 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%