live
./round-17

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Baku, Azerbaijan · 15 September 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:58 PM

predicted
Oscar Piastri
→
actual winner
Oscar Piastri
✓ CORRECT
./why PIA
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 16%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Driver Rating 5%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Win Rate 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
PIA
Oscar Piastri ✓ actual winner
Car 85 · P2
9%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P7
9%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 83 · P6
9%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 88 · P3
8%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 89 · P15
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 69 · P5
7%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 92 · P1
7%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P4
7%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P8
6%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 18 · P10
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 37 · P14
4%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 22 · P16
4%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 28 · P11
3%
14
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 41 · P14
3%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 33 · P18
3%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 30 · P12
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 1 · P17
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P13
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%