live
./round-18

Singapore Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Singapore, Singapore · 22 September 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:40:59 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Long Run Pace 10%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 10%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 83 · P2
10%
02
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 87 · P10
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 93 · P9
9%
04
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 90 · P1
9%
05
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P7
8%
06
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 88 · P5
7%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 70 · P4
7%
08
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P3
6%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P12
5%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 30 · P6
4%
11
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 26 · P8
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 18 · P11
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 36 · P17
3%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 32 · P14
3%
15
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 41 · P15
3%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 21 · P18
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P16
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 29 · P13
3%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 1 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%