live
./round-21

São Paulo Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sao Paulo, Brazil · 3 November 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:04 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 17%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Driver Rating 6%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Win Rate 2%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 85 · P6
10%
02
RUS
George Russell
Car 63 · P2
10%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 90 · P1
8%
04
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 89 · P8
8%
05
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 85 · P11
8%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P15
7%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 78 · P13
7%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 56 · P9
6%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 27 · P11
6%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 77 · P12
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 27 · P4
5%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 31 · P10
5%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 25 · P14
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 33 · P18
4%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 17 · P7
4%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 34 · P3
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 1 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%