live
./round-22

Las Vegas Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Las Vegas, USA · 23 November 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:06 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
George Russell
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 18%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 6%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Driver Rating 6%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 1%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 94 · P4
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 84 · P5
10%
03
RUS
George Russell ✓ actual winner
Car 71 · P1
10%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 91 · P6
9%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 87 · P2
8%
06
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 90 · P8
8%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P10
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 35 · P3
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P15
5%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 31 · P9
4%
11
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 21 · P18
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P19
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 32 · P11
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 27 · P7
3%
15
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P16
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 28 · P11
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 1 · P12
2%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 18 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%