live
./round-23

Qatar Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Lusail, Qatar · 1 December 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:07 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 18%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 6%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 87 · P5
11%
02
RUS
George Russell
Car 65 · P2
10%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 87 · P3
9%
04
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 86 · P4
9%
05
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 79 · P1
8%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P6
7%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P7
7%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 52 · P8
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 73 · P9
4%
10
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 24 · P10
4%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 36 · P14
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 30 · P11
4%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 30 · P12
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 36 · P19
3%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 35 · P17
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 19 · P13
3%
17
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 11 · P15
3%
18
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 4 · P11
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%