live
./round-24

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Abu Dhabi, UAE · 8 December 2024

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:09 PM

predicted
George Russell
→
actual winner
Lando Norris
✗ INCORRECT
./why RUS
share of weighted score
Long Run Pace 20%
Car Performance 19%
Quali vs Teammate 12%
Reliability 10%
Tyre Degradation 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Driver Rating 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Win Rate 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
RUS
George Russell
Car 65 · P7
12%
02
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 78 · P3
11%
03
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 85 · P2
10%
04
NOR
Lando Norris ✓ actual winner
Car 91 · P1
9%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 86 · P5
9%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 86 · P13
9%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 89 · P17
5%
08
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 27 · P9
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 55 · P8
5%
10
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 33 · P4
4%
11
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 77 · P10
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 35 · P11
3%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 27 · P6
3%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 30 · P12
3%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 25 · P14
3%
16
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 15 · P15
2%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 1 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%