live
./round-01

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 28 March 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:11 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 12%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 8%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 4%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P2
11%
02
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 67 · P6
8%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 80 · P1
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 95 · P3
7%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 63 · P7
6%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 57 · P8
6%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 69 · P4
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P9
5%
09
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 24 · P11
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P11
5%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 55 · P5
4%
12
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 33 · P10
4%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P12
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 62 · P15
4%
15
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P17
3%
16
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 48 · P13
3%
17
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 65 · P18
3%
18
RUS
George Russell
Car 13 · P14
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 11 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%