live
./round-02

Emilia Romagna Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Imola, Italy · 18 April 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:16 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 15%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Reliability 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 4%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P1
10%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 72 · P4
7%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 74 · P11
7%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 60 · P7
7%
05
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 51 · P5
6%
06
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 86 · P3
6%
07
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 89 · P8
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 49 · P9
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P2
5%
10
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P15
5%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 70 · P6
5%
12
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 60 · P12
5%
13
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 64 · P17
5%
14
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P14
4%
15
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 26 · P16
4%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 11 · P11
4%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 34 · P10
4%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P19
4%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 13 · P13
3%
20
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%