live
./round-03

Portuguese Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Portimao, Portugal · 2 May 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:19 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 18%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Reliability 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Tyre Degradation 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P2
11%
02
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 74 · P5
10%
03
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 87 · P3
9%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 88 · P1
7%
05
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 50 · P6
6%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 62 · P7
6%
07
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P15
5%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 73 · P8
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P4
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 53 · P9
4%
11
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P10
4%
12
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 64 · P18
4%
13
RUS
George Russell
Car 11 · P11
4%
14
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P12
4%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P13
3%
16
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P14
3%
17
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 27 · P11
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 35 · P16
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 12 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%