live
./round-04

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 9 May 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:20 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 29%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Reliability 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 4%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P1
9%
02
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P7
9%
03
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 52 · P5
7%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 88 · P2
7%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P6
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 75 · P4
6%
07
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 89 · P3
6%
08
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 65 · P9
6%
09
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 30 · P13
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 82 · P8
5%
11
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 64 · P17
5%
12
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P16
5%
13
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P10
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P11
4%
15
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 54 · P11
4%
16
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P12
4%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P15
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 14 · P18
2%
19
RUS
George Russell
Car 14 · P14
2%
20
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%