live
./round-06

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Baku, Azerbaijan · 6 June 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:23 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Sergio Perez
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 15%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 4%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P2
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 82 · P3
10%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 72 · P6
7%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 72 · P5
6%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 66 · P1
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez ✓ actual winner
Car 80 · P7
6%
07
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 86 · P10
6%
08
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 63 · P11
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 51 · P11
5%
10
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 67 · P12
5%
11
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 70 · P9
5%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 53 · P4
4%
13
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 48 · P13
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P8
4%
15
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 32 · P19
3%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P18
3%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 13 · P14
3%
18
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 48 · P16
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P17
3%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 19 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%