live
./round-09

Austrian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spielberg, Austria · 4 July 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:26 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 32%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Reliability 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Long Run Pace 7%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 3%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 2%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P4
8%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 86 · P1
8%
03
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P12
7%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 70 · P2
7%
05
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 85 · P3
6%
06
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P5
6%
07
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 34 · P14
6%
08
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 51 · P15
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 64 · P16
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 65 · P11
5%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 58 · P6
5%
12
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P11
5%
13
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 64 · P13
4%
14
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 60 · P8
4%
15
RUS
George Russell
Car 23 · P9
4%
16
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 66 · P18
4%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P7
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P10
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 21 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%