live
./round-11

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 1 August 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:29 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Esteban Ocon
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 14%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Reliability 6%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Luck Factor 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 90 · P3
8%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 67 · P6
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P1
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 90 · P2
7%
05
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P9
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 75 · P7
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P14
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 56 · P5
5%
09
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 72 · P11
5%
10
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 31 · P13
5%
11
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P10
5%
12
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 84 · P4
5%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon ✓ actual winner
Car 54 · P8
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 38 · P11
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P12
4%
16
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 63 · P19
3%
17
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 40 · P18
3%
18
RUS
George Russell
Car 18 · P16
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 16 · P17
2%
20
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 49 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%