live
./round-12

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 29 August 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:31 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 27%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P3
10%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 85 · P1
8%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 71 · P10
6%
04
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P4
6%
05
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 65 · P12
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P11
6%
07
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P13
6%
08
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P8
5%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 58 · P6
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 84 · P7
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 62 · P9
5%
12
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P5
5%
13
RUS
George Russell
Car 23 · P2
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P14
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P18
4%
16
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 33 · P15
4%
17
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 65 · P17
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 56 · P16
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 20 · P11
3%
20
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 40 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%