live
./round-13

Dutch Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Zandvoort, Netherlands · 5 September 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:33 PM

predicted
Charles Leclerc
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why LEC
share of weighted score
Long Run Pace 23%
Car Performance 22%
Reliability 11%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Driver Rating 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
Win Rate 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 72 · P5
9%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P1
8%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 88 · P3
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P2
7%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 65 · P12
7%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 67 · P9
7%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P6
7%
08
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 29 · P7
6%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 82 · P15
6%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 55 · P4
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 54 · P8
5%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P10
5%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 49 · P14
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 36 · P11
4%
15
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 58 · P16
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 17 · P11
3%
17
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 62 · P18
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 16 · P13
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 35 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%