live
./round-14

Italian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monza, Italy · 12 September 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:34 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Daniel Ricciardo
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 20%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Win Rate 4%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P2
12%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 85 · P3
10%
03
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo ✓ actual winner
Car 71 · P5
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P1
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P8
7%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 58 · P6
6%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 70 · P4
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 65 · P7
5%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 84 · P9
5%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 62 · P13
5%
11
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P12
4%
12
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 33 · P10
4%
13
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P11
4%
14
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 41 · P11
4%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 54 · P16
3%
16
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 64 · P17
3%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 24 · P14
3%
18
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 21 · P15
2%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 35 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%