live
./round-17

United States Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Austin, USA · 24 October 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:36 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 17%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Reliability 6%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 87 · P1
10%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 71 · P8
8%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 66 · P6
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 89 · P4
7%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P2
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P3
6%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 72 · P5
6%
08
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 65 · P7
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 66 · P13
5%
10
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 58 · P11
4%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 50 · P11
4%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P9
4%
13
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 57 · P18
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 30 · P12
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 49 · P17
4%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 31 · P15
4%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P10
3%
18
RUS
George Russell
Car 18 · P14
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 15 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%