live
./round-18

Mexico City Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Mexico City, Mexico · 7 November 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:37 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 30%
Long Run Pace 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Reliability 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P2
9%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 85 · P3
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 96 · P1
8%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 71 · P10
7%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P7
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 65 · P6
6%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 57 · P5
6%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 75 · P8
6%
09
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 84 · P4
6%
10
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P11
5%
11
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P11
5%
12
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 64 · P17
4%
13
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P15
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 62 · P14
4%
15
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 32 · P13
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 49 · P9
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 40 · P19
3%
18
RUS
George Russell
Car 24 · P12
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 30 · P18
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 21 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%