live
./round-19

São Paulo Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sao Paulo, Brazil · 14 November 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:39 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Reliability 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 4%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P1
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 88 · P2
9%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 84 · P4
8%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 90 · P3
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P7
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 68 · P6
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 71 · P8
6%
08
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P10
6%
09
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 66 · P9
6%
10
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 58 · P11
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 44 · P5
4%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 49 · P11
4%
13
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 49 · P13
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 32 · P14
3%
15
RUS
George Russell
Car 20 · P17
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P12
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 34 · P15
3%
18
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 57 · P18
2%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 16 · P16
2%
20
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%