live
./round-20

Qatar Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Lusail, Qatar · 21 November 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:41 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 14%
Luck Factor 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Reliability 6%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 85 · P2
10%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P1
9%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 95 · P3
8%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 65 · P7
6%
05
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P5
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 84 · P11
6%
07
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P15
5%
08
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 71 · P6
5%
09
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 75 · P12
5%
10
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P10
5%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 57 · P4
5%
12
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P13
5%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 61 · P9
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 32 · P17
4%
15
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 64 · P18
3%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 24 · P14
3%
17
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 40 · P11
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 46 · P8
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 21 · P16
3%
20
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 30 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%