live
./round-21

Saudi Arabian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Jeddah, Saudi Arabia · 5 December 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:41:43 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 17%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Luck Factor 9%
Reliability 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P1
11%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 69 · P4
7%
03
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 73 · P14
7%
04
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 87 · P2
6%
05
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 81 · P3
6%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 71 · P12
6%
07
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 68 · P11
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 82 · P5
6%
09
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 33 · P10
5%
10
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 64 · P16
5%
11
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P8
5%
12
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 75 · P7
4%
13
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 49 · P11
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 56 · P6
4%
15
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 48 · P18
4%
16
RUS
George Russell
Car 11 · P13
3%
17
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 48 · P9
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P17
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P19
3%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 19 · P15
3%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%