live
./round-01

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 5 March 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:21 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Reliability 12%
Driver Rating 11%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Win Rate 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Long Run Pace 8%
Luck Factor 6%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
Tyre Degradation 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 79 · P1
11%
02
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 60 · P5
9%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 75 · P2
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P7
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P3
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 55 · P6
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 62 · P4
5%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 46 · P9
5%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 35 · P11
5%
10
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 55 · P11
5%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 43 · P8
5%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P10
3%
13
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P17
3%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 7 · P14
3%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P12
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P19
3%
17
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 5 · P18
3%
18
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 3 · P13
2%
19
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P15
2%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 6 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%