live
./round-02

Saudi Arabian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Jeddah, Saudi Arabia · 19 March 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:22 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Sergio Perez
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 21%
Reliability 11%
Driver Rating 11%
Win Rate 9%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Grid Position 3%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 83 · P14
12%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P2
9%
03
PER
Sergio Perez ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P1
8%
04
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 70 · P3
6%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P8
6%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 76 · P5
6%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 64 · P4
6%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 42 · P7
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 49 · P6
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 47 · P10
5%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 22 · P16
4%
12
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 64 · P18
4%
13
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P9
4%
14
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 30 · P13
4%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 3 · P11
3%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 10 · P15
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 17 · P11
3%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P19
3%
19
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 5 · P17
2%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 16 · P12
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%