live
./round-04

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Baku, Azerbaijan · 30 April 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:25 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Sergio Perez
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 18%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 85 · P2
13%
02
PER
Sergio Perez ✓ actual winner
Car 84 · P3
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P5
8%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 76 · P4
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 77 · P1
7%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 70 · P6
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 62 · P7
6%
08
RUS
George Russell
Car 64 · P11
6%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 21 · P12
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 49 · P9
5%
11
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P10
4%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 29 · P13
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 42 · P11
3%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 12 · P8
3%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 8 · P15
3%
16
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 46 · P18
2%
17
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 5 · P19
2%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 16 · P17
2%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 17 · P16
2%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P14
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%