live
./round-05

Miami Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Miami, USA · 7 May 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:30 PM

predicted
Fernando Alonso
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why ALO
share of weighted score
Long Run Pace 23%
Car Performance 22%
Adj. Grid Position 11%
Reliability 10%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Driver Rating 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Win Rate 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 70 · P2
8%
02
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 77 · P3
8%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 85 · P1
8%
04
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 86 · P9
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P7
7%
06
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P12
6%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 46 · P5
6%
08
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 42 · P8
6%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 21 · P11
5%
10
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 14 · P16
5%
11
RUS
George Russell
Car 65 · P6
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P11
4%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 28 · P10
4%
14
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 17 · P4
4%
15
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 54 · P18
4%
16
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 62 · P15
3%
17
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 7 · P13
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 51 · P17
3%
19
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 4 · P14
3%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%