live
./round-06

Monaco Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Monte Carlo, Monaco · 28 May 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:33 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 17%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Weather Impact 2%
Tyre Degradation 2%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 87 · P1
13%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P6
8%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 71 · P2
8%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 78 · P5
6%
05
RUS
George Russell
Car 68 · P8
6%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 61 · P10
6%
07
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 79 · P3
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 47 · P7
5%
09
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 44 · P4
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 86 · P19
5%
11
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 52 · P13
4%
12
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 51 · P11
4%
13
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 29 · P14
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 17 · P9
4%
15
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 19 · P16
3%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 9 · P18
3%
17
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 4 · P11
3%
18
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 22 · P12
3%
19
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 19 · P17
3%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 5 · P15
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%