live
./round-07

Spanish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Barcelona, Spain · 4 June 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:34 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 16%
Reliability 10%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Adj. Grid Position 8%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P1
14%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P5
8%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 67 · P9
8%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 74 · P2
6%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P3
6%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P11
6%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 42 · P7
5%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 41 · P4
5%
09
RUS
George Russell
Car 57 · P11
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P6
5%
11
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P10
4%
12
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 73 · P18
4%
13
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 14 · P8
4%
14
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 3 · P12
4%
15
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 29 · P15
4%
16
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 8 · P14
3%
17
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 5 · P13
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 11 · P16
2%
19
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 16 · P17
2%
20
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%