live
./round-10

British Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Silverstone, UK · 9 July 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:38 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Reliability 10%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Long Run Pace 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P1
13%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P7
7%
03
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 58 · P2
7%
04
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P9
6%
05
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 43 · P10
6%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 61 · P6
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 68 · P5
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 80 · P14
6%
09
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P4
6%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 50 · P11
5%
11
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 50 · P3
5%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 36 · P14
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 15 · P8
4%
14
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 48 · P12
4%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 22 · P11
3%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 14 · P16
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 10 · P15
3%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 7 · P13
3%
19
DEV
Nyck De Vries
Car 4 · P17
2%
20
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 13 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%