live
./round-11

Hungarian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Budapest, Hungary · 23 July 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:40 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Reliability 11%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Win Rate 9%
Long Run Pace 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Luck Factor 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P2
14%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P1
9%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 66 · P8
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 71 · P6
6%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 53 · P3
6%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 73 · P11
6%
07
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 42 · P13
5%
08
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P4
5%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 27 · P7
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P9
5%
11
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 3 · P5
5%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 40 · P11
5%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 39 · P14
4%
14
RUS
George Russell
Car 56 · P17
4%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 13 · P15
3%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 11 · P10
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 5 · P16
3%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P19
2%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 7 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%