live
./round-12

Belgian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Spa, Belgium · 30 July 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:42 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Long Run Pace 10%
Quali vs Teammate 9%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 4%
Adj. Position Gain 2%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 81 · P1
13%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P4
9%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P9
8%
04
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 77 · P3
7%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P2
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 63 · P5
6%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P7
6%
08
RUS
George Russell
Car 57 · P8
6%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P10
5%
10
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 48 · P6
5%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P11
4%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 35 · P13
4%
13
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 9 · P15
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 3 · P11
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 44 · P14
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 6 · P12
3%
17
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P17
2%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P19
2%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 7 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%