live
./round-13

Dutch Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Zandvoort, Netherlands · 27 August 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:44 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 23%
Long Run Pace 15%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Tyre Degradation 4%
Weather Impact 2%
Adj. Position Gain 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 92 · P1
13%
02
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 85 · P7
9%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 69 · P5
9%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 60 · P2
8%
05
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P9
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 65 · P3
7%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P12
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 78 · P6
6%
09
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 22 · P4
5%
10
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 51 · P11
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 45 · P11
4%
12
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P8
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 46 · P16
4%
14
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 16 · P13
3%
15
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P10
3%
16
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 31 · P18
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 20 · P14
2%
18
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 14 · P15
2%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 17 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%