live
./round-15

Singapore Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Singapore, Singapore · 17 September 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:47 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Carlos Sainz
✗ INCORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 24%
Long Run Pace 12%
Reliability 11%
Driver Rating 10%
Win Rate 9%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Adj. Grid Position 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Sector Strength 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 88 · P11
12%
02
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 71 · P7
8%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 86 · P12
8%
04
RUS
George Russell
Car 69 · P2
8%
05
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P5
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz ✓ actual winner
Car 78 · P1
7%
07
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 61 · P4
7%
08
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 80 · P3
6%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 29 · P15
4%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 45 · P8
4%
11
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 48 · P11
4%
12
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 17 · P14
4%
13
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 51 · P16
3%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 23 · P13
3%
15
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 19 · P9
3%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 52 · P19
3%
17
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P6
3%
18
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P18
2%
19
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%