live
./round-17

Qatar Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Lusail, Qatar · 8 October 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:50 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 81 · P1
13%
02
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 61 · P4
9%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P3
9%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 77 · P5
7%
05
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 77 · P12
6%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 58 · P2
6%
07
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 38 · P7
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 64 · P11
5%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 34 · P9
4%
10
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 43 · P8
4%
11
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 36 · P6
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 9 · P13
4%
13
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 56 · P10
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 17 · P14
3%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 3 · P11
3%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 7 · P19
3%
17
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P15
3%
18
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 44 · P16
3%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 5 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%