live
./round-18

United States Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Austin, USA · 22 October 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:51 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 21%
Long Run Pace 13%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 85 · P6
13%
02
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 57 · P2
9%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P1
8%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P3
8%
05
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P16
7%
06
RUS
George Russell
Car 54 · P5
6%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 78 · P9
6%
08
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 28 · P7
5%
09
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P10
5%
10
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 66 · P4
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 35 · P8
5%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 29 · P12
4%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 13 · P11
3%
14
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 18 · P17
3%
15
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 6 · P11
3%
16
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 15 · P15
3%
17
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P19
2%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 7 · P13
2%
19
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 36 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%