live
./round-19

Mexico City Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Mexico City, Mexico · 29 October 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:53 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Reliability 11%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Long Run Pace 9%
Win Rate 9%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 83 · P3
13%
02
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 44 · P7
8%
03
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P5
7%
04
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P6
7%
05
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 46 · P17
6%
06
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 78 · P1
6%
07
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 64 · P2
5%
08
RUS
George Russell
Car 61 · P8
5%
09
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 35 · P9
5%
10
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 62 · P12
5%
11
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 58 · P18
5%
12
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 39 · P11
5%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 45 · P15
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P11
4%
15
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 11 · P13
4%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P10
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 5 · P14
3%
18
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P19
2%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 7 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%