live
./round-20

São Paulo Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sao Paulo, Brazil · 5 November 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:54 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 19%
Reliability 10%
Driver Rating 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Win Rate 8%
Quali vs Teammate 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Luck Factor 6%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
Tyre Degradation 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 86 · P1
12%
02
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P5
8%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 63 · P4
7%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P2
7%
05
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 59 · P7
7%
06
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 67 · P8
6%
07
RUS
George Russell
Car 56 · P6
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 79 · P9
6%
09
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P10
6%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 29 · P12
5%
11
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 32 · P11
4%
12
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 19 · P14
4%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 36 · P3
4%
14
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 29 · P17
4%
15
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 14 · P15
4%
16
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 7 · P19
3%
17
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P18
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 14 · P11
2%
19
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 6 · P13
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%