live
./round-21

Las Vegas Grand Prix

LIKELY

Las Vegas, USA · 18 November 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:56 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 16%
Reliability 9%
Driver Rating 9%
Tyre Degradation 9%
Adj. Grid Position 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Win Rate 8%
Sector Strength 6%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 87 · P3
17%
02
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 80 · P1
8%
03
RUS
George Russell
Car 67 · P4
7%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 78 · P2
7%
05
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 48 · P5
6%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 70 · P10
6%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P11
6%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 85 · P11
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 51 · P13
5%
10
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 22 · P6
4%
11
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 51 · P18
4%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 28 · P8
4%
13
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 62 · P15
4%
14
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 4 · P7
4%
15
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 43 · P16
3%
16
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 18 · P9
3%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 14 · P19
3%
18
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P12
3%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 9 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%