live
./round-22

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Abu Dhabi, UAE · 26 November 2023

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:57 PM

predicted
Max Verstappen
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✓ CORRECT
./why VER
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Reliability 11%
Driver Rating 11%
Quali vs Teammate 10%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Win Rate 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 7%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Long Run Pace 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P1
10%
02
RUS
George Russell
Car 59 · P4
8%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P2
8%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 62 · P5
8%
05
PIA
Oscar Piastri
Car 55 · P3
7%
06
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 65 · P7
7%
07
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 87 · P11
6%
08
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 19 · P6
5%
09
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 43 · P12
5%
10
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 82 · P9
5%
11
ALB
Alexander Albon
Car 20 · P13
5%
12
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 30 · P17
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 37 · P11
4%
14
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 35 · P10
4%
15
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 71 · P15
4%
16
SAR
Logan Sargeant
Car 6 · P19
3%
17
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 18 · P8
3%
18
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 11 · P16
2%
19
ZHO
Guanyu Zhou
Car 10 · P18
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%