live
./round-07

French Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Le Castellet, France · 20 June 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:42:58 PM

predicted
Carlos Sainz
→
actual winner
Max Verstappen
✗ INCORRECT
./why SAI
share of weighted score
Car Performance 22%
Long Run Pace 22%
Reliability 12%
Adj. Grid Position 10%
Sector Strength 9%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Quali vs Teammate 5%
Driver Rating 3%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Win Rate 0%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P5
9%
02
VER
Max Verstappen ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P1
8%
03
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P2
8%
04
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 76 · P7
7%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 89 · P3
7%
06
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 66 · P8
6%
07
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P4
6%
08
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 30 · P12
6%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P9
5%
10
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 55 · P6
5%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 72 · P10
5%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 53 · P11
4%
13
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P11
4%
14
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 63 · P14
4%
15
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 50 · P16
3%
16
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P18
3%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 16 · P13
3%
18
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 45 · P17
2%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 15 · P15
2%
20
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 52 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%