live
./round-15

Russian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sochi, Russia · 26 September 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:00 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Lewis Hamilton
✓ CORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 19%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Reliability 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Sector Strength 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 3%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton ✓ actual winner
Car 99 · P4
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 85 · P19
7%
03
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 66 · P6
7%
04
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 64 · P2
6%
05
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 82 · P9
6%
06
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 49 · P10
6%
07
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 59 · P11
5%
08
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 63 · P5
5%
09
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 42 · P11
5%
10
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 70 · P1
5%
11
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 88 · P7
5%
12
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 74 · P14
5%
13
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 28 · P8
4%
14
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 48 · P15
4%
15
RUS
George Russell
Car 14 · P3
4%
16
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 59 · P16
4%
17
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 55 · P12
3%
18
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 50 · P18
3%
19
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 17 · P13
3%
20
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 29 · P17
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%