live
./round-16

Turkish Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Istanbul, Turkey · 10 October 2021

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:01 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Valtteri Bottas
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Long Run Pace 20%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Sector Strength 8%
Reliability 8%
Driver Rating 7%
Quali vs Teammate 6%
Tyre Degradation 5%
Luck Factor 4%
Win Rate 4%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P1
11%
02
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 90 · P3
10%
03
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 73 · P4
7%
04
NOR
Lando Norris
Car 66 · P8
6%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas ✓ actual winner
Car 89 · P2
6%
06
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 57 · P5
6%
07
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 71 · P15
6%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 75 · P14
5%
09
MSC
Mick Schumacher
Car 62 · P13
5%
10
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 68 · P6
5%
11
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 83 · P7
5%
12
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 55 · P11
4%
13
TSU
Yuki Tsunoda
Car 45 · P10
4%
14
GIO
Antonio Giovinazzi
Car 30 · P17
4%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 37 · P9
3%
16
VET
Sebastian Vettel
Car 57 · P11
3%
17
RUS
George Russell
Car 18 · P12
3%
18
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 49 · P18
3%
19
MAZ
Nikita Mazepin
Car 30 · P19
2%
20
LAT
Nicholas Latifi
Car 17 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%