live
./round-01

Australian Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Melbourne, Australia · 25 March 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:26 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Sebastian Vettel
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 26%
Reliability 11%
Long Run Pace 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Sector Strength 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Tyre Degradation 7%
Luck Factor 6%
Win Rate 5%
Weather Impact 1%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 99 · P1
13%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel ✓ actual winner
Car 97 · P3
9%
03
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 89 · P2
7%
04
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 64 · P4
7%
05
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 86 · P10
7%
06
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 48 · P12
5%
07
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 46 · P13
5%
08
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 52 · P9
5%
09
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 48 · P11
5%
10
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 42 · P6
4%
11
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 76 · P5
4%
12
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 32 · P7
4%
13
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 47 · P14
4%
14
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 39 · P8
3%
15
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P18
3%
16
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 20 · P11
3%
17
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 23 · P16
3%
18
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 13 · P15
3%
19
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P17
3%
20
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P19
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%