live
./round-02

Bahrain Grand Prix

TOSS-UP

Sakhir, Bahrain · 8 April 2018

Model: weighted-v3 · Computed: 8/28/2026, 8:43:27 PM

predicted
Lewis Hamilton
→
actual winner
Sebastian Vettel
✗ INCORRECT
./why HAM
share of weighted score
Car Performance 25%
Long Run Pace 13%
Reliability 10%
Adj. Grid Position 9%
Driver Rating 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Sector Strength 7%
Win Rate 5%
Luck Factor 5%
Adj. Position Gain 1%
Weather Impact 1%
./all drivers
Pos
Driver
Win %
01
HAM
Lewis Hamilton
Car 100 · P4
13%
02
VET
Sebastian Vettel ✓ actual winner
Car 97 · P1
12%
03
BOT
Valtteri Bottas
Car 95 · P3
7%
04
RAI
Kimi Räikkönen
Car 92 · P2
6%
05
RIC
Daniel Ricciardo
Car 78 · P5
6%
06
VER
Max Verstappen
Car 68 · P14
5%
07
OCO
Esteban Ocon
Car 57 · P9
5%
08
PER
Sergio Perez
Car 50 · P11
5%
09
MAG
Kevin Magnussen
Car 36 · P7
4%
10
ALO
Fernando Alonso
Car 40 · P12
4%
11
SAI
Carlos Sainz
Car 39 · P10
4%
12
HUL
Nico Hulkenberg
Car 49 · P8
4%
13
GAS
Pierre Gasly
Car 14 · P6
4%
14
VAN
Stoffel Vandoorne
Car 22 · P13
3%
15
STR
Lance Stroll
Car 45 · P19
3%
16
LEC
Charles Leclerc
Car 22 · P18
3%
17
GRO
Romain Grosjean
Car 40 · P15
3%
18
HAR
Brendon Hartley
Car 9 · P11
3%
19
SIR
Sergey Sirotkin
Car 50 · P17
3%
20
ERI
Marcus Ericsson
Car 23 · P16
2%
./compare drivers
Driver Alpha
Driver Beta
./what-if lab

Drag the weights to see how the predicted order shifts. Recomputed live in your browser — the model itself is unchanged.

total weight 100
./model weights
Car Performance 20%
Long Run Pace 15%
Tyre Degradation 8%
Reliability 8%
Quali vs Teammate 8%
Driver Rating 8%
Win Rate 8%
Luck Factor 7%
Sector Strength 6%
Adj. Grid Position 7%
Adj. Position Gain 3%
Weather Impact 2%